Sunday, December 24, 2006

Fish are like Huckleberry Finn, They'll Take you to the River

Hello, My Name is John McCormack.

I've been playing poker for almost 12 years; started with of course 5 card stud a version of Today's Texas Holdem, and after playing in many 20/40 cash games at FullTiltPoker and making on average 48k a Year for the past 2 and 1/2 years since I have played there, that Amatuers "Fish" some people call them do not pay Attention, to Pot Odds or Odds of hitting there hands, because both Pot Odds and Hand odds to a Pro or someone who know what they're doing those two things alone are able to tell you whether you should call, Raise of Fold. These Fish although will rely on luck and most of them will play ATC "Any Two Cards" just because they THINK its right to see a flop. So I want to Write out the Approximations of hitting Certain hands so Maybe a Fish will read it and they will get how a hand should be played and how often it actually will win.

Outs Type of Draw On flop On Turn

2 PP that needs to hit Trips to win 9% 5%
3 Pair that needs to hit its Kicker 13% 7%
4 Inside Straight Draw 18% 9%
5 Smaller Pair on board with a live kicker 20% 11%
6 Two live over cards to hit 24% 14%
8 Open Ended Straight Draw 32% 18%
9 Flush Draw 37% 21%
12 Flush Draw with one live over Card 45% 27%
15 Straight and Flush Draw 54% 34%
21 Straight Draw,Flush Draw, and two live over Cards 67% 48%

Now these are not 100% Exact, so dont Email me complaining about Suckouts if you have a better hand and the PP does hit Trips, it happens basically in poker It has too, so take the good with the bad but in FUTURE events if you play your hands correctly and play pots odds with hand odd % you will overall win every time.

I will be making more Blogs about Recent BadBeats ive had at the live games I play at and at FullTiltPoker Enjoy

-Jm